Friday December 27th, 2024 3:44PM

Stock market today: Wall Street falls after the Federal Reserve hints at just 2 rate cuts for 2025

By The Associated Press

NEW YORK (AP) — U.S. stock indexes fell Wednesday after the Federal Reserve hinted it may deliver fewer shots of adrenaline to the economy next year than it had earlier thought.

The S&P 500 lost 0.7% to pull a bit further from its all-time high set earlier this month. The Dow Jones Industrial Average was down 242 points, or 0.6%, as of 2:38 p.m. Eastern time, and the Nasdaq composite dropped 0.8%.

The Fed said Wednesday that it’s cutting its main interest rate for a third time this year, continuing the sharp turnaround begun in September when it started easing rates from a two-decade high to support the slowing job market. Wednesday’s cut was widely expected.

The bigger question centers on what the Fed plans to do next year. A lot is riding on it, particularly after expectations for a series of cuts to rates in 2025 helped the U.S. stock market set an all-time high at least 57 times in 2024.

Fed officials released projections on Wednesday showing the median expectation among them is for two more cuts to interest rates in 2025. That's down from the four expected just three months ago. Such a move would reduce the federal funds rate by half a percentage point. That would be half as much relief as the Fed delivered in 2024, when it sliced a whole percentage point off the fed funds rate to bring it to a range of 4.25% to 4.50%.

Pointing to how much the Fed cut this year, Fed Chair Jerome Powell said, “We can therefore be more cautious as we consider further adjustments to our policy rate."

Officials are paring back their forecasts for cuts amid growing uncertainties. The pace of inflation has picked up a bit recently after slowing nearly all the way down to the Fed’s 2% target from its peak above 9%. Worries are also high that President-elect Donald Trump’s preference for tariffs and other policies could further spur inflation, along with economic growth.

While lower rates can offer a boost to the economy by making it cheaper for U.S. households and businesses to borrow, along with goosing prices for investments, they can also offer more fuel for inflation.

One official, Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack, thought the central bank should not have even cut rates this time around. She was the lone vote against Wednesday's rate cut.

The reduced expectations for 2025 rate cuts sent Treasury yields rising in the bond market.

The yield on the 10-year Treasury rose to 4.46% from 4.40% late Tuesday. The two-year yield, which more closely tracks expectations for Fed action, climbed to 4.32% from 4.25%.

On Wall Street, stocks of companies that can feel the most pressure from higher interest rates fell to some of the worst losses.

Real-estate owners in the S&P 500 fell 2%, for example, for the largest loss among the 11 sectors that make up the index.

Stocks of smaller companies also did poorly. Many need to borrow to fuel their growth, potentially making them more vulnerable to higher interest rates, and the Russell 2000 index of small-cap stocks fell a market-leading 1.2%

Elsewhere on Wall Street. General Mills dropped 3.9% despite reporting a stronger profit for the latest quarter than expected. The maker of Progresso soups and Cheerios said it will increase its investments in brands to help them grow, which pushed it to cut its forecast for profit this fiscal year.

On the winning end of Wall Street, Jabil jumped 8.7% to help lead the market after reporting stronger profit and revenue for the latest quarter than analysts expected. The electronics company also raised its forecast for revenue for its full fiscal year.

Nvidia, the superstar responsible for a chunk of Wall Street’s rally to records in recent years, climbed 2.7% following a weekslong funk. It had dropped more than 12% from its record set last month and fallen in eight of the nine previous days as its big momentum slowed.

In stock markets abroad, London’s FTSE 100 edged up by less than 0.1% after data showed inflation accelerated to 2.6% in November, its highest level in eight month. The Bank of England is also meeting on interest rates this week and will announce its decision on Thursday.

In Japan, where the Bank of Japan will wrap up its own policy meeting on Friday, the Nikkei 225 slipped 0.7%. That was despite a 23.7% jump for Nissan Motor Corp., which said it was in talks on closer collaboration with Honda Motor Co., though no decision had been made on a possible merger. Honda Motor’s stock lost 3%.

Nissan, Honda and Nissan alliance member Mitsubishi Motors Corp. agreed in August to share components for electric vehicles like batteries and to jointly research software for autonomous driving to adapt better to dramatic changes in the auto industry.

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AP Writer Zimo Zhong contributed.

  • Associated Categories: Associated Press (AP), AP Business, AP Business - Financial Markets
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