clearn.png
Sunday March 29th, 2020 2:32AM

AP VoteCast: Young, liberal voters key to Sanders’ NH win

By The Associated Press
Related Articles
  Contact Editor

WASHINGTON (AP) — Bernie Sanders won the young, the liberal and the disaffected in New Hampshire. Their votes were enough to deliver him a victory in Tuesday's Democratic primary, while Pete Buttigieg earned a slight edge among more moderate and conservative voters, with Amy Klobuchar close behind.

The New Hampshire Democratic primary revealed a mountainous ideological divide among Democrats, as voters try to identify which candidate will be most effective in challenging President Donald Trump in November's general election.

A majority of voters who considered themselves “very liberal” supported Sanders, according to AP VoteCast. The 78-year-old Vermont senator, who has championed universal government health care and high taxes on the wealthy, also won support from voters younger than 45 and had a slight advantage among those without a college degree. Three in 10 of those who deemed the U.S. economic system “very unfair" favor Sanders to oversee the world's leading financial power.

But about 6 in 10 New Hampshire Democrats identified as moderate or conservative. Buttigieg, the 38-year-old former mayor of South Bend, Indiana, held a slight advantage with this group of voters. Roughly another quarter of moderate and conservative voters went with Minnesota Sen. Amy Klobuchar, while about 1 in 10 went for former Vice President Joe Biden.

Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren and Sanders are avowed liberals.

AP VoteCast is a wide-ranging survey of more than 3,000 Democratic primary voters in New Hampshire conducted for The Associated Press by NORC at the University of Chicago.

The scrum of conflicting ideologies could set up a bruising round of election contests in the weeks ahead as Democratic voters choose whether it is better to lean into an overtly liberal contender or embrace a more moderate challenger. And once the nominee is picked, it is unclear whether the Democrats can fully set aside their differences and bond back together.

Only 15% of New Hampshire Democrats said they were “very confident” that the process for picking a presidential nominee would be fair, a sign of possible doubts lingering in voters' minds at the state’s Tuesday primary.

The trouble tabulating results in last week’s Iowa caucuses, an issue that has yet to be fully resolved, may have rattled the faith of some voters amid uncertainty about who is the Democratic front-runner. The skepticism was clearest among Sanders' backers, with 6 in 10 saying they had little or no confidence in the Democratic primary process. Majorities of voters for every other top Democratic contender described the primary process as fair.

The results from AP VoteCast suggest that Sanders' younger and generally more liberal supporters distrust their fellow Democrats, a potential reflection of the Vermont senator losing the 2016 nomination to Hillary Clinton.

Matthew Gage, a 40-year-old EMT attending a Sanders party in Manchester, New Hampshire, said he was angered by the use of super delegates in the 2016 election and remains "suspicious" that the process is fair this time around.

This year, he said, "I have more confidence only because there's more eyes watching them and they know they can’t hide stuff."

Yet after months of campaigns and debates, New Hampshire voters were still settling on the ideal moderate choice. Of the state Democrats who made a decision in the days before the primary, just over half went to Buttigieg and Klobuchar.

The only clear candidate on the outs in a state that is largely white and older was Biden. He departed Tuesday for South Carolina, where there is a significant population of African American voters who will test which candidate appeals most to a diverse electorate that was largely absent from the opening two contests.

Voters see liabilities in many of the Democrats vying to run against Trump. About 6 in 10 said a candidate with strongly liberal views would have difficulty competing with the incumbent president, evidence that Sanders and Warren may be struggling to make the electability argument outside their base of supporters. But 6 in 10 also said a gay nominee — Buttigieg — would face greater hardship in the general election.

Still, New Hampshire Democrats say they are willing to rally around their party's nominee. At least 6 in 10 said they would be satisfied with Buttigieg, Klobuchar, Sanders or Warren as their presidential candidate. Fewer — about half — said they would be pleased if Biden became the nominee.

Broader questions about fairness in U.S. society have been a central concern for the Democratic candidates.

An overwhelming share of New Hampshire Democrats — nearly 8 in 10 — view the economy as unfair. But there is little consensus on which candidate would do the best job of stewarding the world’s largest economy.

Yet among the roughly 2 in 10 who believe the economy is fair, there was an opening for a Democrat whose name was not on the ballot in New Hampshire. These voters gave a slight edge on leading the economy to Mike Bloomberg, the former New York City Mayor with a personal fortune in excess of $60 billion.

___

Associated Press writer Kathleen Ronayne in Manchester, New Hampshire, contributed to this report.

___

AP VoteCast is a survey of the American electorate conducted by NORC at the University of Chicago for The Associated Press and Fox News. The survey of 3,111 voters in New Hampshire was conducted for seven days, concluding as polls closed. Interviews were conducted in English or Spanish. The survey is based on interviews with a random sample of registered voters drawn from the state voter file. The margin of sampling error for voters is estimated to be plus or minus 3.0 percentage points.

___

Catch up on the 2020 election campaign with AP experts on our weekly politics podcast, “Ground Game.”

  • Associated Categories: Associated Press (AP), AP Online Headlines - Washington, AP Elections, General Election News, General Presidential Election News, AP Elections - Political Conventions
© Copyright 2020 AccessWDUN.com
All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed without permission.
White supremacist propaganda spreading, anti-bias group says
Cases of white supremacist propaganda distribution is spiking, the Anti-Defamation League says in a new report
1:38AM ( 20 minutes ago )
Trial team quits Roger Stone case in dispute over sentence
The four lawyers who prosecuted Roger Stone have quit the case after the Justice Department overruled them and said it would take the extraordinary step of lowering the amount of prison time it would seek for President Donald Trump’s longtime ally and confidant
1:35AM ( 23 minutes ago )
AP VoteCast: Young, liberal voters key to Sanders’ NH win
AP VoteCast shows Bernie Sanders won the young, the liberal and the disaffected in New Hampshire
1:33AM ( 25 minutes ago )
Associated Press (AP)
Congress wants to know if Census Bureau ready for big count
The start of the 2020 census is just a month away for most U.S. residents
1:02AM ( 56 minutes ago )
Joe Biden looks to South Carolina to resurrect his campaign
Joe Biden has brought his wounded presidential campaign to South Carolina, staking his hopes for a comeback on the loyalty of black voters after a dismal finish in the New Hampshire primary magnified his disappointing finish in Iowa
1:00AM ( 58 minutes ago )
The Latest: Top Nevada union warns about Sanders, Warren
Nevada's most influential union is sending a warning over the heath care stances of the two most progressive Democratic contenders, including the current front-runner in the primary race
12:18AM ( 1 hour ago )
AP Online Headlines - Washington
The Latest: Trump wins GOP primary, Weld nabs 9% of vote
President Donald Trump overwhelmingly won New Hampshire’s GOP primary, but more than 12,000 votes went to a long-shot challenger, former Massachusetts Gov. Bill Weld
12:00AM ( 1 hour ago )
The Latest: Sanders leading Buttigieg in NH, Klobuchar 3rd
Bernie Sanders is holding a narrow lead over Pete Buttigieg in early returns in the New Hampshire Democratic primary
10:46PM ( 3 hours ago )
The Latest: Klobuchar says she has redefined the word 'grit'
Democratic presidential candidate Amy Klobuchar says she has redefined the word “grit” and beaten the odds once again in New Hampshire
10:18PM ( 3 hours ago )
AP Elections
Klobuchar faces tough questioning in case of juvenile lifer
As voters made their way to the New Hampshire polls, Democratic presidential candidate Amy Klobuchar faced pointed questions about her oversight of a high-profile murder case in which a black teen was sentenced to life after a flawed police investigation
6:17PM ( 7 hours ago )
Dems look for New Hampshire results to clarify muddled race
Bernie Sanders is fighting for Democratic front-runner status as New Hampshire primary voters stream to the polls
6:02PM ( 7 hours ago )
Warren betting that getting personal can help her rebound
Elizabeth Warren still “has a plan” for everything
4:37PM ( 9 hours ago )
General Election News
Steyer's wife moves to S. Carolina for rest of 2020 campaign
The wife of Democratic presidential candidate Tom Steyer has stepped down from her banking job and relocated to South Carolina for the duration of her husband's campaign
6:15PM ( 7 hours ago )
How the Iowa caucuses 'broke down in every way possible'
Democratic Party leaders and activists are describing widespread missteps in planning and implementation that made the Iowa caucuses a historic disaster
2:59PM ( 10 hours ago )
In 2015 audio, Bloomberg advocates targeting minorities
Michael Bloomberg is under fire for resurfaced comments in which he says the way to bring down murder rates is to "put a lot of cops" in minority neighborhoods because that's where "all the crime is
2:11PM ( 11 hours ago )
General Presidential Election News
Trump campaigns as 2nd Amendment warrior
President Donald Trump is fully embracing the mantle of gun rights champion as he makes his pitch for reelection
12:36AM ( 1 day ago )
US counterintel strategy emphasizes protection of democracy
The U.S. government's top counterintelligence official says he's concerned that Russia or other foreign adversaries could exploit the chaos of the Iowa caucuses to sow distrust in the integrity of America's elections
10:39PM ( 1 day ago )
The Latest: Klobuchar optimistic before New Hampshire vote
Amy Klobuchar has hosted a rowdy event at a Manchester bar, making her final push for votes ahead of Tuesday’s New Hampshire primary
10:38PM ( 1 day ago )
AP Elections - Political Conventions
White supremacist propaganda spreading, anti-bias group says
Cases of white supremacist propaganda distribution is spiking, the Anti-Defamation League says in a new report
1:38AM ( 20 minutes ago )
Trial team quits Roger Stone case in dispute over sentence
The four lawyers who prosecuted Roger Stone have quit the case after the Justice Department overruled them and said it would take the extraordinary step of lowering the amount of prison time it would seek for President Donald Trump’s longtime ally and confidant
1:35AM ( 23 minutes ago )
AP VoteCast: NH Democrats angry, seek alternative to Trump
Democratic voters in Tuesday's New Hampshire primary are angry at President Donald Trump's administration and eager to pick the candidate most likely to oust him from office
1:32AM ( 26 minutes ago )
A victory, a caution: Takeaways from New Hampshire's primary
New Hampshire Democrats have given Bernie Sanders a win, but also a warning
1:30AM ( 28 minutes ago )
Sanders edges Buttigieg in NH, giving Dems 2 front-runners
Bernie Sanders won New Hampshire’s presidential primary election Tuesday night, narrowly edging moderate rival Pete Buttigieg and scoring the first clear victory in the Democratic Party’s chaotic 2020 nomination fight
1:27AM ( 32 minutes ago )